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Quotes include estimated taker fees and are timestamped snapshots.", "sources": { "schedule": "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data/releases/download/schedules/games.csv", "kalshi": "https://external-api.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/markets", "historicalGamesUsed": 1203, "ratingsThroughSeason": 2026, "ratingsCutoff": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "efficiency": { "status": "refreshed", "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:42.140Z", "sourceUrl": "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data/releases/download/pbp/play_by_play_2026.csv.gz", "gamesUsed": 1756, "latestEligibleAfter": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z", "dataHash": "648a48b5e3929861179cb43259b721a6e6dab197c8f39cbb1eb56b31517c04ab" }, "feeSchedules": { "KXNFLGAME": { "type": "quadratic_with_maker_fees", "multiplier": 1, "sourceUrl": "https://external-api.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/series/KXNFLGAME" }, "KXNFLSPREAD": { "type": "quadratic_with_maker_fees", "multiplier": 1, "sourceUrl": "https://external-api.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/series/KXNFLSPREAD" }, "KXNFLTOTAL": { "type": "quadratic_with_maker_fees", "multiplier": 1, "sourceUrl": "https://external-api.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/series/KXNFLTOTAL" }, "KXNFLTEAMTOTAL": { "type": "quadratic", "multiplier": 1, "sourceUrl": "https://external-api.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/series/KXNFLTEAMTOTAL" } }, "kalshiMarketsFetched": 1057, "errors": [] }, "fixtures": [ { "gameId": "2026_05_TB_DAL", "analystOutlook": null, "context": { "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:42.325Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872980", "kickoffAt": "2026-10-09T00:15Z", "venue": "AT&T Stadium", "riskFlags": [ "TB: Jalon Daniels projected after excluding Baker Mayfield", "TB: Benjamin Morrison Questionable", "TB: Josiah Trotter Questionable", "TB: Antoine Winfield Jr. Out", "TB: Baker Mayfield Out", "DAL: DeMarvion Overshown Doubtful", "TB: 2 listed starters with secondary injury designations; review together", "Injury impact incomplete: existing absences and replacement quality require review." ], "currentSportsbook": { "source": "DraftKings via ESPN", "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:42.325Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872980", "homeLine": -8.5, "homeSpreadOdds": -112, "awaySpreadOdds": -108, "totalLine": 47.5, "homeMoneyline": -455, "awayMoneyline": 350, "note": "Current quoted line. 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Garnes", "position": "RCB" }, { "id": "4248533", "name": "Josh Hayes", "position": "RCB" } ], "Base 3-4 D:nb": [ { "id": "4912847", "name": "Jacob Parrish", "position": "NB" }, { "id": "5093694", "name": "Keionte Scott", "position": "NB" } ], "Special Teams:pk": [ { "id": "3150744", "name": "Chase McLaughlin", "position": "PK" } ], "Special Teams:p": [ { "id": "2577619", "name": "Riley Dixon", "position": "P" } ], "Special Teams:h": [ { "id": "2577619", "name": "Riley Dixon", "position": "H" } ], "Special Teams:pr": [ { "id": "5097554", "name": "Kameron Johnson", "position": "PR" }, { "id": "4608810", "name": "Tez Johnson", "position": "PR" } ], "Special Teams:kr": [ { "id": "5097554", "name": "Kameron Johnson", "position": "KR" }, { "id": "4430871", "name": "Sean Tucker", "position": "KR" }, { "id": "4371733", "name": "Kenny Gainwell", "position": "KR" } ], "Special Teams:ls": [ { "id": "4361727", "name": "Evan Deckers", "position": "LS" } ], "3WR 1TE:wr1": [ { "id": "4567750", "name": "Emeka Egbuka", "position": "WR" }, { "id": "4608810", "name": "Tez Johnson", "position": "WR" }, { "id": "4430834", "name": "Jalen McMillan", "position": "WR" } ], "3WR 1TE:wr2": [ { "id": "3116165", "name": "Chris Godwin Jr.", "position": "WR" }, { "id": "5097554", "name": "Kameron Johnson", "position": "WR" } ], "3WR 1TE:wr3": [ { "id": "5220680", "name": "Ted Hurst III", "position": "WR" }, { "id": "3871102", "name": "David Sills V", "position": "WR" } ], "3WR 1TE:lt": [ { "id": "4240589", "name": "Tristan Wirfs", "position": "LT" }, { "id": "4690787", "name": "Benjamin Chukwuma", "position": "LT" } ], "3WR 1TE:lg": [ { "id": "4046551", "name": "Ben Bredeson", "position": "LG" }, { "id": "4685549", "name": "Billy Schrauth", "position": "LG" } ], "3WR 1TE:c": [ { "id": "4429251", "name": "Graham Barton", "position": "C" }, { "id": "2979482", "name": "Dan Feeney", "position": "C" } ], "3WR 1TE:rg": [ { "id": "4248545", "name": "Cody Mauch", "position": "RG" }, { "id": "2979482", "name": "Dan Feeney", "position": "RG" }, { "id": "4686884", "name": "Luke Haggard", "position": "RG" } ], "3WR 1TE:rt": [ { "id": "4380507", "name": "Luke Goedeke", "position": "RT" }, { "id": "3915777", "name": "Justin Skule", "position": "RT" } ], "3WR 1TE:qb": [ { "id": "3052587", "name": "Baker Mayfield", "position": "QB" }, { "id": "4596472", "name": "Jalon Daniels", "position": "QB" } ], "3WR 1TE:te": [ { "id": "4243331", "name": "Cade Otton", "position": "TE" }, { "id": "4372505", "name": "Payne Durham", "position": "TE" }, { "id": "4034779", "name": "Ko Kieft", "position": "TE" }, { "id": "4890373", "name": "Bauer Sharp", "position": "TE" } ], "3WR 1TE:rb": [ { "id": "4596448", "name": "Bucky Irving", "position": "RB" }, { "id": "4371733", "name": "Kenny Gainwell", "position": "RB" }, { "id": "4430871", "name": "Sean Tucker", "position": "RB" } ] }, "quarterback": { "id": "4596472", "name": "Jalon Daniels", "status": "projected", "availability": "Active", "skippedUnavailable": [ "Baker Mayfield" ] }, "changes": [], "baseline": false, "sourceTimestamp": "2026-10-06T19:42:01Z", "id": "27", "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/tb.png", "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:42.325Z", "depthAvailable": true, "injuriesAvailable": true, "injurySourceTimestamp": "2026-10-06T19:42:42Z", "availabilityReports": [ { "id": "4816107", "name": "Benjamin Morrison", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z" }, { "id": "4034779", "name": "Ko Kieft", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z" }, { "id": "4608810", "name": "Tez Johnson", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T03:55Z" }, { "id": "5220680", "name": "Ted Hurst III", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T02:57Z" }, { "id": "4430871", "name": "Sean Tucker", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T01:20Z" }, { "id": "4429511", "name": "SirVocea Dennis", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:51Z" }, { "id": "4243331", "name": "Cade Otton", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:50Z" }, { "id": "4240401", "name": "Ifeatu Melifonwu", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:27Z" }, { "id": "4870617", "name": "Rueben Bain Jr.", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:10Z" }, { "id": "4870998", "name": "Josiah Trotter", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:07Z" }, { "id": "4034790", "name": "Antoine Winfield Jr.", "status": "Out", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T22:02Z" }, { "id": "3052587", "name": "Baker Mayfield", "status": "Out", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T19:07Z" }, { "id": "4686884", "name": "Luke Haggard", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T19:07Z" }, { "id": "4685549", "name": "Billy Schrauth", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T19:07Z" }, { "id": "4429007", "name": "DeMonte Capehart", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T19:07Z" }, { "id": "3150744", "name": "Chase McLaughlin", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T04:29Z" }, { "id": "4371733", "name": "Kenny Gainwell", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T04:05Z" }, { "id": "4567750", "name": "Emeka Egbuka", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T00:13Z" }, { "id": "3116165", "name": "Chris Godwin Jr.", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T00:06Z" }, { "id": "4596472", "name": "Jalon Daniels", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T23:07Z" }, { "id": "4596448", "name": "Bucky Irving", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T20:45Z" }, { "id": "4912847", "name": "Jacob Parrish", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T15:53Z" }, { "id": "2575453", "name": "Rakeem Nunez-Roches", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T15:50Z" }, { "id": "5093694", "name": "Keionte Scott", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T20:47Z" }, { "id": "4686334", "name": "Yaya Diaby", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T20:46Z" } ], "depthUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/depth/_/name/tb", "injuriesUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/tb", "injuries": [ { "id": "4816107", "name": "Benjamin Morrison", "status": "Questionable", "position": "CB", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "injury": "Quadriceps", "listedStarter": true }, { "id": "4034779", "name": "Ko Kieft", "status": "Questionable", "position": "TE", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "injury": "Elbow", "listedStarter": false }, { "id": "4429511", "name": "SirVocea Dennis", "status": "Questionable", "position": "LB", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:51Z", "injury": "Ankle", "listedStarter": false }, { "id": "4870998", "name": "Josiah Trotter", "status": "Questionable", "position": "LB", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:07Z", "injury": "Knee", "listedStarter": true }, { "id": "4034790", "name": "Antoine Winfield Jr.", "status": "Out", "position": "S", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T22:02Z", "injury": "Ribs", "listedStarter": true }, { "id": "3052587", "name": "Baker Mayfield", "status": "Out", "position": "QB", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T19:07Z", "injury": "Thumb", "listedStarter": true } ] }, "recommendationLimit": "watch", "note": "Team efficiency: applied. Availability experiment: no-change. Injury position values remain assumptions. Personnel review and weather do not add automatic scoring adjustments. FTN data are not loaded.", "weeklyReports": [], "personnelReview": { "status": "review", "asOf": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "warnings": [ "TB: 2 listed starters with secondary injury designations; review together" ], "players": [ { "team": "DAL", "name": "DeMarvion Overshown", "position": "LB", "group": "LB", "status": "Doubtful", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/dal", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "TB", "name": "Benjamin Morrison", "position": "CB", "group": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/tb", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "TB", "name": "Josiah Trotter", "position": "LB", "group": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:07Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/tb", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "TB", "name": "Antoine Winfield Jr.", "position": "S", "group": "S", "status": "Out", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T22:02Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/tb", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "TB", "name": "Baker Mayfield", "position": "QB", "group": "QB", "status": "Out", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T19:07Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/tb", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null } ], "changes": [], "clusters": [ { "team": "TB", "unit": "secondary", "players": [ "Benjamin Morrison", "Antoine Winfield Jr." ] } ], "scoreAdjustment": 0 } }, "personalComparison": null, "season": 2026, "week": 5, "kickoffAt": "2026-10-09T00:15Z", "gameday": "2026-10-08", "stadium": "AT&T Stadium", "roof": "unknown", "surface": "matrixturf", "location": "Home", "away": { "code": "TB", "name": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "colors": [ "#d50a0a", "#ff7900" ] }, "home": { "code": "DAL", "name": "Dallas Cowboys", "colors": [ "#003594", "#869397" ] }, "model": { "modelVersion": "gridiron-efficiency-v0.3+availability-experiment-v1", "researchModelKey": "gridiron-efficiency-v0.3+availability-experiment-v1:30e5716c9882cb0a", "provisional": true, "ratingReliability": 0.68, "expectedPoints": { "home": 27.048498805067286, "away": 22.575696039307022, "total": 49.62419484437431, "margin": 4.472802765760264 }, "simulatedPoints": { "home": 27.07496, "away": 22.65332 }, "shape": { "home": 0.62564, "tie": 0.0014, "away": 0.37296 }, "fairWinner": { "home": 0.62634, "away": 0.37366 }, "projectedScore": { "home": 23, "away": 20, "probability": 0.0052 }, "topScores": [ { "home": 23, "away": 20, "probability": 0.0052 }, { "home": 27, "away": 20, "probability": 0.00484 }, { "home": 27, "away": 24, "probability": 0.00464 }, { "home": 20, "away": 17, "probability": 0.0046 }, { "home": 24, "away": 27, "probability": 0.00452 } ], "simulations": 25000, "contextAppliedToScores": true, "injuryAdjustmentApplied": false, "efficiency": { "featureVersion": "opponent-efficiency-features-v1", "asOf": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "gamesUsed": 1756, "latestEligibleAfter": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z", "coverage": { "home": { "effectiveGames": 6.4445862878549445, "lastGame": "2026-10-04", "lastQuarterback": "Dak Prescott" }, "away": { "effectiveGames": 6.4458807778744935, "lastGame": "2026-10-04", "lastQuarterback": "Jalon Daniels" } }, "inputs": { "home": { "baselinePoints": 26.024642485409927, "homeField": 1, "offenseYards": 0.23967998447662353, "defenseYards": 0.2086296412481868, "offenseSuccess": 0.054066984155081696, "defenseSuccess": -0.007492179180282428, "offensePointsPerDrive": 0.7509773669093038, "defensePointsPerDrive": 0.12244944216033783, "possessions": 10.107852612025203, "offenseTurnovers": -0.00615982863063722, "defenseTurnovers": 0.00003818733048267884, "offenseFieldPosition": -0.6066399309196826, "defenseFieldPosition": -2.098578190992697 }, "away": { "baselinePoints": 23.112835925785667, "homeField": -1, "offenseYards": -0.3952012063945835, "defenseYards": 1.0300198501456412, "offenseSuccess": 0.012507041639331546, "defenseSuccess": 0.049332455339538436, "offensePointsPerDrive": -0.1685338014121161, "defensePointsPerDrive": 0.6853773722104166, "possessions": 10.107852612025203, "offenseTurnovers": 0.004919364254108969, "defenseTurnovers": -0.009237327627570388, "offenseFieldPosition": -0.30713839260691767, "defenseFieldPosition": -1.5632322267534133 } }, "warnings": [], "status": "applied", "expectedPossessions": 10.107852612025203, "calibrationVersion": "efficiency-calibration-v1", "trainingThroughSeason": 2025, "provisional": true, "simulationTreatment": "Legacy distribution retained; possessions affect learned expected scoring." }, "preInjury": { "expectedPoints": { "home": 27.048498805067286, "away": 22.575696039307022, "total": 49.62419484437431, "margin": 4.472802765760264 }, "fairWinner": { "home": 0.62634, "away": 0.37366 } }, "availability": { "version": "availability-experiment-v1", "status": "no-change", "calibrated": false, "coverage": { "scope": "Changes since first observed weekly reference only; not a full healthy-roster adjustment", "baselineRosterKnown": false, "baselineAbsences": [ { "team": "DAL", "id": "4362088", "name": "DeMarvion Overshown", "position": "LB", "status": "Doubtful", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "DAL", "id": "4384549", "name": "Cobie Durant", "position": "CB", "status": "Doubtful", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "DAL", "id": "4685554", "name": "Drew Shelton", "position": "OT", "status": "Doubtful", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:11Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "DAL", "id": "4568652", "name": "Tyler Smith", "position": "G", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T01:04Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "DAL", "id": "2980097", "name": "Jonathan Bullard", "position": "DT", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-01T00:58Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "DAL", "id": "4043089", "name": "Jalen Thompson", "position": "S", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-30T18:33Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "TB", "id": "4816107", "name": "Benjamin Morrison", "position": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "TB", "id": "4034779", "name": "Ko Kieft", "position": "TE", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "TB", "id": "4429511", "name": "SirVocea Dennis", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:51Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "TB", "id": "4870998", "name": "Josiah Trotter", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:07Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "TB", "id": "4034790", "name": "Antoine Winfield Jr.", "position": "S", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T22:02Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "TB", "id": "3052587", "name": "Baker Mayfield", "position": "QB", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T19:07Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." } ], "unresolved": [ { "team": "DAL", "id": "4362088", "name": "DeMarvion Overshown", "position": "LB", "status": "Doubtful", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "DAL", "id": "4384549", "name": "Cobie Durant", "position": "CB", "status": "Doubtful", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "DAL", "id": "4685554", "name": "Drew Shelton", "position": "OT", "status": "Doubtful", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:11Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "DAL", "id": "4568652", "name": "Tyler Smith", "position": "G", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T01:04Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "DAL", "id": "2980097", "name": "Jonathan Bullard", "position": "DT", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-01T00:58Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "DAL", "id": "4043089", "name": "Jalen Thompson", "position": "S", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-30T18:33Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "TB", "id": "4816107", "name": "Benjamin Morrison", "position": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "TB", "id": "4034779", "name": "Ko Kieft", "position": "TE", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "TB", "id": "4429511", "name": "SirVocea Dennis", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:51Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "TB", "id": "4870998", "name": "Josiah Trotter", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:07Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "TB", "id": "4034790", "name": "Antoine Winfield Jr.", "position": "S", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T22:02Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "TB", "id": "3052587", "name": "Baker Mayfield", "position": "QB", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T19:07Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." } ], "reviewRequired": true, "label": "Injury impact incomplete — review required" }, "reviewRequired": true, "referenceObservedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:42.325Z", "referenceNote": "First valid observation captured this week, not necessarily the opening. Existing absences have unknown representation in team ratings; only later status changes receive experimental adjustments.", "entries": [], "excluded": [], "scenarioCount": 1, "homePointChange": 0, "awayPointChange": 0, "marginChange": 0, "totalChange": 0, "sensitivity": [ { "scale": 0.5, "expectedPoints": { "home": 27.048498805067286, "away": 22.575696039307022, "total": 49.62419484437431, "margin": 4.472802765760264 } }, { "scale": 1, "expectedPoints": { "home": 27.048498805067286, "away": 22.575696039307022, "total": 49.62419484437431, "margin": 4.472802765760264 } }, { "scale": 1.5, "expectedPoints": { "home": 27.048498805067286, "away": 22.575696039307022, "total": 49.62419484437431, "margin": 4.472802765760264 } } ], "limitations": [ "Generic starter-to-backup assumptions; actual replacement quality and snap-share calibration are not yet modeled.", "Opening-reference changes reduce repeated deductions but do not fully remove availability already embedded in historical team ratings.", "Questionable and doubtful probabilities are assumptions; active-but-limited performance is not modeled.", "Absence scenarios assume independent availability; multiple injuries are summed with caps, without a calibrated cluster penalty.", "Sensitivity ranges are assumption stress tests, not confidence intervals. Weather remains display-only." ], "policy": { "version": "availability-experiment-v1", "calibrated": false, "description": "Conservative analyst-selected scenario assumptions. 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"name": "Quinyon Mitchell", "position": "CB", "group": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T14:20Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/phi", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null } ], "changes": [], "clusters": [ { "team": "JAX", "unit": "secondary", "players": [ "Montaric Brown", "Eric Murray" ] }, { "team": "PHI", "unit": "secondary", "players": [ "Marcus Epps", "Quinyon Mitchell" ] }, { "team": "PHI", "unit": "offensive line", "players": [ "Lane Johnson", "Cam Jurgens" ] } ], "scoreAdjustment": 0 } }, "personalComparison": null, "season": 2026, "week": 5, "kickoffAt": "2026-10-11T13:30Z", "gameday": "2026-10-11", "stadium": "Tottenham Hotspur Stadium", "roof": "outdoors", "surface": "grass", "location": "Home", "away": { "code": "PHI", "name": "Philadelphia Eagles", "colors": [ "#004c54", "#a5acaf" ] }, "home": { "code": "JAX", "name": "Jacksonville Jaguars", "colors": [ "#006778", "#d7a22a" ] }, "model": { 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"team": "PHI", "id": "4361178", "name": "Cam Jurgens", "position": "C", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T01:31Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "PHI", "id": "3916409", "name": "Jonathan Greenard", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T23:09Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "PHI", "id": "3929630", "name": "Saquon Barkley", "position": "RB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T21:31Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "PHI", "id": "4429013", "name": "Tank Bigsby", "position": "RB", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T21:17Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "PHI", "id": "4686273", "name": "Quinyon Mitchell", "position": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T14:20Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." } ], "unresolved": [ { "team": "JAX", "id": "4257580", "name": "Christian Braswell", "position": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "JAX", "id": "4242149", "name": "Montaric Brown", "position": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "JAX", "id": "2970716", "name": "Eric Murray", "position": "S", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T19:56Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; 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All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 405778.39, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLGAME-26OCT11PHIJAC-PHI" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLGAME-26OCT11PHIJAC-JAC", "family": "winner", "teamSide": "home", "line": null, "label": "Jacksonville Jaguars wins", "yesAsk": 0.75, "noAsk": 0.26, "yesBid": 0.74, "noBid": 0.25, "volume": 279781.58, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If Jacksonville wins the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "The following market refers to the team who wins the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 20453.36, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLGAME-26OCT11PHIJAC-JAC" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11PHIJAC-PHI8", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 7.5, "label": "Philadelphia Eagles wins by more than 7.5", "yesAsk": 0.12, "noAsk": 0.9, "yesBid": 0.1, "noBid": 0.88, "volume": 1177.28, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If PHI Eagles wins by more than 7.5 points in the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 304002.87, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11PHIJAC-PHI8" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11PHIJAC-PHI7", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 6.5, "label": "Philadelphia Eagles wins by more than 6.5", "yesAsk": 0.14, "noAsk": 0.87, "yesBid": 0.13, "noBid": 0.86, "volume": 1083.28, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If PHI Eagles wins by more than 6.5 points in the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 302343.12, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11PHIJAC-PHI7" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11PHIJAC-PHI6", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 5.5, "label": "Philadelphia Eagles wins by more than 5.5", "yesAsk": 0.16, "noAsk": 0.86, "yesBid": 0.14, "noBid": 0.84, "volume": 1114.56, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If PHI Eagles wins by more than 5.5 points in the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. 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FTN data are not loaded.", "weeklyReports": [], "personnelReview": { "status": "checked", "asOf": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "warnings": [], "players": [ { "team": "MIA", "name": "Caleb Douglas", "position": "WR", "group": "WR", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/mia", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "CIN", "name": "Colbie Young", "position": "WR", "group": "WR", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/cin", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "CIN", "name": "Bryan Cook", "position": "S", "group": "S", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/cin", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "CIN", "name": "Tee Higgins", "position": "WR", "group": "WR", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T19:16Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/cin", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "CIN", "name": "Ja'Marr Chase", "position": "WR", "group": "WR", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T18:47Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/cin", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null } ], "changes": [], "clusters": [], "scoreAdjustment": 0 } }, "personalComparison": null, "season": 2026, "week": 5, "kickoffAt": "2026-10-11T17:00Z", "gameday": "2026-10-11", "stadium": "Hard Rock Stadium", "roof": "outdoors", "surface": "grass", "location": "Home", "away": { "code": "CIN", "name": "Cincinnati Bengals", "colors": [ "#fb4f14", "#000000" ] }, "home": { "code": "MIA", "name": "Miami Dolphins", "colors": [ "#008e97", "#fc4c02" ] }, "model": { "modelVersion": "gridiron-efficiency-v0.3+availability-experiment-v1", "researchModelKey": "gridiron-efficiency-v0.3+availability-experiment-v1:30e5716c9882cb0a", "provisional": true, "ratingReliability": 0.68, "expectedPoints": { "home": 20.412991520111422, "away": 24.350672062416336, "total": 44.763663582527755, "margin": -3.937680542304914 }, "simulatedPoints": { "home": 20.32468, "away": 24.3778 }, "shape": { "home": 0.37676, "tie": 0.00136, "away": 0.62188 }, "fairWinner": { "home": 0.37744, "away": 0.62256 }, "projectedScore": { "home": 17, "away": 20, "probability": 0.0078 }, "topScores": [ { "home": 17, "away": 20, "probability": 0.0078 }, { "home": 20, "away": 23, "probability": 0.00664 }, { "home": 24, "away": 27, "probability": 0.00564 }, { "home": 20, "away": 17, "probability": 0.00524 }, { "home": 17, "away": 23, "probability": 0.00508 } ], "simulations": 25000, "contextAppliedToScores": true, "injuryAdjustmentApplied": false, "efficiency": { "featureVersion": "opponent-efficiency-features-v1", "asOf": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "gamesUsed": 1756, "latestEligibleAfter": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z", "coverage": { "home": { "effectiveGames": 6.444580579001823, "lastGame": "2026-10-04", "lastQuarterback": "Malik Willis" }, "away": { "effectiveGames": 6.444497081742883, "lastGame": "2026-10-04", "lastQuarterback": "Joe Burrow" } }, "inputs": { "home": { "baselinePoints": 20.87306783685127, "homeField": 1, "offenseYards": -0.06452954163141954, "defenseYards": 0.5831160779242106, "offenseSuccess": -0.03161623474588453, "defenseSuccess": 0.028204166183843884, "offensePointsPerDrive": -0.32461326269950624, "defensePointsPerDrive": 0.12654199998463203, "possessions": 9.916774249599378, "offenseTurnovers": 0.002045172391691178, "defenseTurnovers": 0.0011760327892993685, "offenseFieldPosition": -0.010249267637628401, "defenseFieldPosition": 1.201577348291375 }, "away": { "baselinePoints": 23.50851444043885, "homeField": -1, "offenseYards": 0.16195938696652643, "defenseYards": 0.6226078024464712, "offenseSuccess": 0.05401871540741523, "defenseSuccess": 0.05608302947635464, "offensePointsPerDrive": 0.44343925210958446, "defensePointsPerDrive": 0.3599535874051101, "possessions": 9.916774249599378, "offenseTurnovers": -0.00464378663112274, "defenseTurnovers": -0.00327498915326478, "offenseFieldPosition": -0.39955481599412934, "defenseFieldPosition": -2.5135156890964745 } }, "warnings": [], "status": "applied", "expectedPossessions": 9.916774249599378, "calibrationVersion": "efficiency-calibration-v1", "trainingThroughSeason": 2025, "provisional": true, "simulationTreatment": "Legacy distribution retained; 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impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CIN", "id": "3116748", "name": "B.J. Hill", "position": "DT", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CIN", "id": "4570546", "name": "Swayze Bozeman", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CIN", "id": "4239993", "name": "Tee Higgins", "position": "WR", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T19:16Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CIN", "id": "4362628", "name": "Ja'Marr Chase", "position": "WR", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T18:47Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CIN", "id": "3125356", "name": "Jalen Davis", "position": "CB", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-29T23:16Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." } ], "unresolved": [ { "team": "MIA", "id": "4869645", "name": "Caleb Douglas", "position": "WR", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "MIA", "id": "4259558", "name": "Robert Beal Jr.", "position": "DE", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "MIA", "id": "4371946", "name": "Reese Taylor", "position": "CB", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T01:00Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "MIA", "id": "4431664", "name": "Dante Trader Jr.", "position": "S", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T23:45Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "MIA", "id": "4685637", "name": "Jackson Woodard", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T03:29Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "MIA", "id": "4894654", "name": "Kenneth Grant", "position": "DT", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T15:37Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "MIA", "id": "4427103", "name": "Storm Duck", "position": "CB", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-01T01:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "MIA", "id": "4429160", "name": "De'Von Achane", "position": "RB", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-28T20:10Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CIN", "id": "5092508", "name": "Colbie Young", "position": "WR", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CIN", "id": "4247726", "name": "Bryan Cook", "position": "S", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CIN", "id": "4401811", "name": "Kyle Dugger", "position": "S", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CIN", "id": "3116748", "name": "B.J. Hill", "position": "DT", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CIN", "id": "4570546", "name": "Swayze Bozeman", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CIN", "id": "4239993", "name": "Tee Higgins", "position": "WR", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T19:16Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CIN", "id": "4362628", "name": "Ja'Marr Chase", "position": "WR", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T18:47Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CIN", "id": "3125356", "name": "Jalen Davis", "position": "CB", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-29T23:16Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." } ], "reviewRequired": true, "label": "Injury impact incomplete — review required" }, "reviewRequired": true, "referenceObservedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:42.325Z", "referenceNote": "First valid observation captured this week, not necessarily the opening. Existing absences have unknown representation in team ratings; only later status changes receive experimental adjustments.", "entries": [], "excluded": [], "scenarioCount": 1, "homePointChange": 0, "awayPointChange": 0, "marginChange": 0, "totalChange": 0, "sensitivity": [ { "scale": 0.5, "expectedPoints": { "home": 20.412991520111422, "away": 24.350672062416336, "total": 44.763663582527755, "margin": -3.937680542304914 } }, { "scale": 1, "expectedPoints": { "home": 20.412991520111422, "away": 24.350672062416336, "total": 44.763663582527755, "margin": -3.937680542304914 } }, { "scale": 1.5, "expectedPoints": { "home": 20.412991520111422, "away": 24.350672062416336, "total": 44.763663582527755, "margin": -3.937680542304914 } } ], "limitations": [ "Generic starter-to-backup assumptions; actual replacement quality and snap-share calibration are not yet modeled.", "Opening-reference changes reduce repeated deductions but do not fully remove availability already embedded in historical team ratings.", "Questionable and doubtful probabilities are assumptions; active-but-limited performance is not modeled.", "Absence scenarios assume independent availability; multiple injuries are summed with caps, without a calibrated cluster penalty.", "Sensitivity ranges are assumption stress tests, not confidence intervals. 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If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 378367.2, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLGAME-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLGAME-26OCT11CINMIA-CIN", "family": "winner", "teamSide": "away", "line": null, "label": "Cincinnati Bengals wins", "yesAsk": 0.77, "noAsk": 0.24, "yesBid": 0.76, "noBid": 0.23, "volume": 64039.85, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If Cincinnati wins the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "The following market refers to the team who wins the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 95770.4, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLGAME-26OCT11CINMIA-CIN" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA8", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 7.5, "label": "Miami Dolphins wins by more than 7.5", "yesAsk": 0.09, "noAsk": 0.92, "yesBid": 0.08, "noBid": 0.91, "volume": 28, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If MIA Dolphins wins by more than 7.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 1124, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA8" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA7", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 6.5, "label": "Miami Dolphins wins by more than 6.5", "yesAsk": 0.12, "noAsk": 0.89, "yesBid": 0.11, "noBid": 0.88, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If MIA Dolphins wins by more than 6.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 301109, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA7" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA6", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 5.5, "label": "Miami Dolphins wins by more than 5.5", "yesAsk": 0.14, "noAsk": 0.88, "yesBid": 0.12, "noBid": 0.86, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If MIA Dolphins wins by more than 5.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. 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All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 301001, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-58" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-55", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 54.5, "label": "Over 54.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.18, "noAsk": 0.83, "yesBid": 0.17, "noBid": 0.82, "volume": 18.33, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 54.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 301124, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-55" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-52", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 51.5, "label": "Over 51.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.23, "noAsk": 0.78, "yesBid": 0.22, "noBid": 0.77, "volume": 92.84, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 51.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 301036, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-52" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-49", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 48.5, "label": "Over 48.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.32, "noAsk": 0.69, "yesBid": 0.31, "noBid": 0.68, "volume": 13.87, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 48.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 301035, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-49" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-48", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 47.5, "label": "Over 47.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.34, "noAsk": 0.67, "yesBid": 0.33, "noBid": 0.66, "volume": 28, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 47.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 301036, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-48" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-47", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 46.5, "label": "Over 46.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.38, "noAsk": 0.63, "yesBid": 0.37, "noBid": 0.62, "volume": 912.56, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 46.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 301036, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-47" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-46", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 45.5, "label": "Over 45.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.41, "noAsk": 0.61, "yesBid": 0.39, "noBid": 0.59, "volume": 3763.43, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 45.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 302159, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-46" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-45", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 44.5, "label": "Over 44.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.42, "noAsk": 0.59, "yesBid": 0.41, "noBid": 0.58, "volume": 3369.32, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 44.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 1955, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-45" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-44", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 43.5, "label": "Over 43.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.48, "noAsk": 0.54, "yesBid": 0.46, "noBid": 0.52, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 43.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 303000, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-44" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-43", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 42.5, "label": "Over 42.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.51, "noAsk": 0.5, "yesBid": 0.5, "noBid": 0.49, "volume": 2370.03, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 42.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 28, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-43" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-40", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 39.5, "label": "Over 39.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.61, "noAsk": 0.42, "yesBid": 0.58, "noBid": 0.39, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 39.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 302300, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-40" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-37", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 36.5, "label": "Over 36.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.7, "noAsk": 0.32, "yesBid": 0.68, "noBid": 0.3, "volume": 518, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 36.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 35, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-37" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-34", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 33.5, "label": "Over 33.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.78, "noAsk": 0.23, "yesBid": 0.77, "noBid": 0.22, "volume": 501.89, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 33.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 2157, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-34" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-31", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 30.5, "label": "Over 30.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.85, "noAsk": 0.17, "yesBid": 0.83, "noBid": 0.15, "volume": 1030, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 30.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 1127, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-31" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-28", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 27.5, "label": "Over 27.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.91, "noAsk": 0.12, "yesBid": 0.88, "noBid": 0.09, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 27.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 302120, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-28" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-25", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 24.5, "label": "Over 24.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.94, "noAsk": 0.07, "yesBid": 0.93, "noBid": 0.06, "volume": 631.27, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CIN Bengals and MIA Dolphins collectively score more than 24.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 109, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-25" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA8", "family": "team-total", "teamSide": "home", "line": 7.5, "label": "Miami Dolphins over 7.5 points", "yesAsk": 0.88, "noAsk": 0.16, "yesBid": 0.84, "noBid": 0.12, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If MIA Dolphins scores over 7.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 1750, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA8" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA43", "family": "team-total", "teamSide": "home", "line": 42.5, "label": "Miami Dolphins over 42.5 points", "yesAsk": 0.05, "noAsk": 1, "yesBid": 0, "noBid": 0.95, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If MIA Dolphins scores over 42.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 27, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA43" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA4", "family": "team-total", "teamSide": "home", "line": 3.5, "label": "Miami Dolphins over 3.5 points", "yesAsk": 0.95, "noAsk": 0.08, "yesBid": 0.92, "noBid": 0.05, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If MIA Dolphins scores over 3.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 13, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA4" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA39", "family": "team-total", "teamSide": "home", "line": 38.5, "label": "Miami Dolphins over 38.5 points", "yesAsk": 0.04, "noAsk": 0.99, "yesBid": 0.01, "noBid": 0.96, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If MIA Dolphins scores over 38.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 1, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA39" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA36", "family": "team-total", "teamSide": "home", "line": 35.5, "label": "Miami Dolphins over 35.5 points", "yesAsk": 0.05, "noAsk": 0.98, "yesBid": 0.02, "noBid": 0.95, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If MIA Dolphins scores over 35.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 1821, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA36" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA32", "family": "team-total", "teamSide": "home", "line": 31.5, "label": "Miami Dolphins over 31.5 points", "yesAsk": 0.08, "noAsk": 0.94, "yesBid": 0.06, "noBid": 0.92, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If MIA Dolphins scores over 31.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 1500, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA32" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA29", "family": "team-total", "teamSide": "home", "line": 28.5, "label": "Miami Dolphins over 28.5 points", "yesAsk": 0.12, "noAsk": 0.9, "yesBid": 0.1, "noBid": 0.88, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If MIA Dolphins scores over 28.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. 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All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 1765, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA22" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT11CINMIA-MIA21", "family": "team-total", "teamSide": "home", "line": 20.5, "label": "Miami Dolphins over 20.5 points", "yesAsk": 0.35, "noAsk": 0.67, "yesBid": 0.33, "noBid": 0.65, "volume": 14.69, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If MIA Dolphins scores over 20.5 points in the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. 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impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "MIN", "id": "4361985", "name": "Christian Darrisaw", "position": "OT", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:34Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "MIN", "id": "4431553", "name": "Donovan Jackson", "position": "G", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:30Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "MIN", "id": "3921690", "name": "Josh Oliver", "position": "TE", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-30T00:26Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." } ], "reviewRequired": true, "label": "Injury impact incomplete — review required" }, "reviewRequired": true, "referenceObservedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:42.325Z", "referenceNote": "First valid observation captured this week, not necessarily the opening. Existing absences have unknown representation in team ratings; only later status changes receive experimental adjustments.", "entries": [], "excluded": [], "scenarioCount": 1, "homePointChange": 0, "awayPointChange": 0, "marginChange": 0, "totalChange": 0, "sensitivity": [ { "scale": 0.5, "expectedPoints": { "home": 18.841871395671465, "away": 21.536038996183457, "total": 40.377910391854925, "margin": -2.6941676005119923 } }, { "scale": 1, "expectedPoints": { "home": 18.841871395671465, "away": 21.536038996183457, "total": 40.377910391854925, "margin": -2.6941676005119923 } }, { "scale": 1.5, "expectedPoints": { "home": 18.841871395671465, "away": 21.536038996183457, "total": 40.377910391854925, "margin": -2.6941676005119923 } } ], "limitations": [ "Generic starter-to-backup assumptions; actual replacement quality and snap-share calibration are not yet modeled.", "Opening-reference changes reduce repeated deductions but do not fully remove availability already embedded in historical team ratings.", "Questionable and doubtful probabilities are assumptions; active-but-limited performance is not modeled.", "Absence scenarios assume independent availability; multiple injuries are summed with caps, without a calibrated cluster penalty.", "Sensitivity ranges are assumption stress tests, not confidence intervals. 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All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 403339.18, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLGAME-26OCT11MINNO-MIN" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11MINNO-NO8", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 7.5, "label": "New Orleans Saints wins by more than 7.5", "yesAsk": 0.22, "noAsk": 0.79, "yesBid": 0.21, "noBid": 0.78, "volume": 396.33, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If NOLA Saints wins by more than 7.5 points in the MIN Vikings vs NOLA Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. 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"2026-10-05T18:37Z" }, { "id": "5150249", "name": "Justin Jefferson", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T18:37Z" }, { "id": "3915535", "name": "Denzel Ward", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-03T02:17Z" }, { "id": "4379397", "name": "Tyson Campbell", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-03T02:14Z" }, { "id": "4569620", "name": "Ronnie Hickman", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-03T02:12Z" }, { "id": "4876017", "name": "Carson Schwesinger", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-03T02:10Z" }, { "id": "4242208", "name": "Grant Delpit", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-03T02:08Z" }, { "id": "4241463", "name": "Jerry Jeudy", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T23:51Z" }, { "id": "4601080", "name": "Raheim Sanders", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T23:15Z" }, { "id": "4722893", "name": "Jaleel McLaughlin", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T22:16Z" }, { "id": "4873232", "name": "Mason Graham", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T19:22Z" }, { "id": "4870653", "name": "KC Concepcion", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T05:10Z" }, { "id": "4832800", "name": "Denzel Boston", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T05:06Z" }, { "id": "5083076", "name": "Harold Fannin Jr.", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T05:00Z" }, { "id": "3122840", "name": "Deshaun Watson", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T04:56Z" }, { "id": "4685702", "name": "Quinshon Judkins", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T04:37Z" }, { "id": "4258620", "name": "Andre Szmyt", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T04:33Z" }, { "id": "4600415", "name": "Mike Hall Jr.", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T02:35Z" }, { "id": "3131498", "name": "Tytus Howard", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-09-30T19:35Z" }, { "id": "4816090", "name": "Parker Brailsford", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-09-28T18:19Z" }, { "id": "4360677", "name": "Mekhi Blackmon", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-09-27T16:16Z" }, { "id": "3110565", "name": "Quincy Williams", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-09-25T20:53Z" } ], "depthUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/depth/_/name/cle", "injuriesUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/cle", "injuries": [ { "id": "4241424", "name": "Tylan Wallace", "status": "Questionable", "position": "WR", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "injury": "Knee", "listedStarter": false }, { "id": "3115485", "name": "Elgton Jenkins", "status": "Questionable", "position": "C", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "injury": "Concussion", "listedStarter": false }, { "id": "4038457", "name": "Teven Jenkins", "status": "Questionable", "position": "G", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "injury": "Back", "listedStarter": false }, { "id": "4873232", "name": "Mason Graham", "status": "Questionable", "position": "DT", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T19:22Z", "injury": "Knee", "listedStarter": true } ] }, "recommendationLimit": "watch", "note": "Team efficiency: applied. Availability experiment: no-change. Injury position values remain assumptions. Personnel review and weather do not add automatic scoring adjustments. FTN data are not loaded.", "weeklyReports": [], "personnelReview": { "status": "checked", "asOf": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "warnings": [], "players": [ { "team": "NYJ", "name": "Kiko Mauigoa", "position": "LB", "group": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/nyj", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "NYJ", "name": "Adonai Mitchell", "position": "WR", "group": "WR", "status": "Doubtful", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/nyj", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "NYJ", "name": "Dylan Parham", "position": "G", "group": "OL", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/nyj", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "NYJ", "name": "Kingsley Enagbare", "position": "LB", "group": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/nyj", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "NYJ", "name": "Breece Hall", "position": "RB", "group": "RB", "status": "Doubtful", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/nyj", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "NYJ", "name": "Jarvis Brownlee Jr.", "position": "CB", "group": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T23:17Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/nyj", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "CLE", "name": "Mason Graham", "position": "DT", "group": "DL", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T19:22Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/cle", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null } ], "changes": [], "clusters": [], "scoreAdjustment": 0 } }, "personalComparison": null, "season": 2026, "week": 5, "kickoffAt": "2026-10-11T17:00Z", "gameday": "2026-10-11", "stadium": "MetLife Stadium", "roof": "outdoors", "surface": "fieldturf", "location": "Home", "away": { "code": "CLE", "name": "Cleveland Browns", "colors": [ "#311d00", "#ff3c00" ] }, "home": { "code": "NYJ", "name": "New York Jets", "colors": [ "#125740", "#ffffff" ] }, "model": { "modelVersion": "gridiron-efficiency-v0.3+availability-experiment-v1", "researchModelKey": "gridiron-efficiency-v0.3+availability-experiment-v1:30e5716c9882cb0a", "provisional": true, "ratingReliability": 0.68, "expectedPoints": { "home": 20.182556878600163, "away": 20.465716161789878, "total": 40.64827304039004, "margin": -0.28315928318971473 }, "simulatedPoints": { "home": 20.21696, "away": 20.4124 }, "shape": { "home": 0.49352, "tie": 0.00132, "away": 0.50516 }, "fairWinner": { "home": 0.49418, "away": 0.50582 }, "projectedScore": { "home": 20, "away": 17, "probability": 0.00744 }, "topScores": [ { "home": 20, "away": 17, "probability": 0.00744 }, { "home": 17, "away": 20, "probability": 0.0072 }, { "home": 20, "away": 23, "probability": 0.00592 }, { "home": 10, "away": 20, "probability": 0.00552 }, { "home": 17, "away": 13, "probability": 0.00544 } ], "simulations": 25000, "contextAppliedToScores": true, "injuryAdjustmentApplied": false, "efficiency": { "featureVersion": "opponent-efficiency-features-v1", "asOf": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "gamesUsed": 1756, "latestEligibleAfter": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z", "coverage": { "home": { "effectiveGames": 6.444482686579498, "lastGame": "2026-10-04", "lastQuarterback": "Geno Smith" }, "away": { "effectiveGames": 6.4445747232447275, "lastGame": "2026-10-01", "lastQuarterback": "Deshaun Watson" } }, "inputs": { "home": { "baselinePoints": 20.76592774381434, "homeField": 1, "offenseYards": -0.5826290856817025, "defenseYards": -0.0763736523897739, "offenseSuccess": 0.002694824905868168, 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"efficiency-calibration-v1", "trainingThroughSeason": 2025, "provisional": true, "simulationTreatment": "Legacy distribution retained; possessions affect learned expected scoring." }, "preInjury": { "expectedPoints": { "home": 20.182556878600163, "away": 20.465716161789878, "total": 40.64827304039004, "margin": -0.28315928318971473 }, "fairWinner": { "home": 0.49418, "away": 0.50582 } }, "availability": { "version": "availability-experiment-v1", "status": "no-change", "calibrated": false, "coverage": { "scope": "Changes since first observed weekly reference only; not a full healthy-roster adjustment", "baselineRosterKnown": false, "baselineAbsences": [ { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4808766", "name": "Mason Taylor", "position": "TE", "status": "Doubtful", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4700136", "name": "Kiko Mauigoa", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4597500", "name": "Adonai Mitchell", "position": "WR", "status": "Doubtful", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4243375", "name": "Dylan Parham", "position": "G", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4362840", "name": "Kingsley Enagbare", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4427366", "name": "Breece Hall", "position": "RB", "status": "Doubtful", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4429005", "name": "Braiden McGregor", "position": "DE", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:30Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4426817", "name": "Jarvis Brownlee Jr.", "position": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T23:17Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4429105", "name": "Arian Smith", "position": "WR", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-23T21:53Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4002046", "name": "David Onyemata", "position": "DT", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-23T21:40Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CLE", "id": "4241424", "name": "Tylan Wallace", "position": "WR", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CLE", "id": "3115485", "name": "Elgton Jenkins", "position": "C", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CLE", "id": "4038457", "name": "Teven Jenkins", "position": "G", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CLE", "id": "4873232", "name": "Mason Graham", "position": "DT", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T19:22Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." } ], "unresolved": [ { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4808766", "name": "Mason Taylor", "position": "TE", "status": "Doubtful", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4700136", "name": "Kiko Mauigoa", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4597500", "name": "Adonai Mitchell", "position": "WR", "status": "Doubtful", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4243375", "name": "Dylan Parham", "position": "G", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4362840", "name": "Kingsley Enagbare", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4427366", "name": "Breece Hall", "position": "RB", "status": "Doubtful", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4429005", "name": "Braiden McGregor", "position": "DE", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T00:30Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4426817", "name": "Jarvis Brownlee Jr.", "position": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T23:17Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4429105", "name": "Arian Smith", "position": "WR", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-23T21:53Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYJ", "id": "4002046", "name": "David Onyemata", "position": "DT", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-23T21:40Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CLE", "id": "4241424", "name": "Tylan Wallace", "position": "WR", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CLE", "id": "3115485", "name": "Elgton Jenkins", "position": "C", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CLE", "id": "4038457", "name": "Teven Jenkins", "position": "G", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CLE", "id": "4873232", "name": "Mason Graham", "position": "DT", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-02T19:22Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." } ], "reviewRequired": true, "label": "Injury impact incomplete — review required" }, "reviewRequired": true, "referenceObservedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:42.325Z", "referenceNote": "First valid observation captured this week, not necessarily the opening. Existing absences have unknown representation in team ratings; only later status changes receive experimental adjustments.", "entries": [], "excluded": [], "scenarioCount": 1, "homePointChange": 0, "awayPointChange": 0, "marginChange": 0, "totalChange": 0, "sensitivity": [ { "scale": 0.5, "expectedPoints": { "home": 20.182556878600163, "away": 20.465716161789878, "total": 40.64827304039004, "margin": -0.28315928318971473 } }, { "scale": 1, "expectedPoints": { "home": 20.182556878600163, "away": 20.465716161789878, "total": 40.64827304039004, "margin": -0.28315928318971473 } }, { "scale": 1.5, "expectedPoints": { "home": 20.182556878600163, "away": 20.465716161789878, "total": 40.64827304039004, "margin": -0.28315928318971473 } } ], "limitations": [ "Generic starter-to-backup assumptions; actual replacement quality and snap-share calibration are not yet modeled.", "Opening-reference changes reduce repeated deductions but do not fully remove availability already embedded in historical team ratings.", "Questionable and doubtful probabilities are assumptions; active-but-limited performance is not modeled.", "Absence scenarios assume independent availability; multiple injuries are summed with caps, without a calibrated cluster penalty.", "Sensitivity ranges are assumption stress tests, not confidence intervals. Weather remains display-only." ], "policy": { "version": "availability-experiment-v1", "calibrated": false, "description": "Conservative analyst-selected scenario assumptions. Not coefficients learned from historical injury outcomes; not individual player valuations.", "absenceProbability": { "out": 1, "injured reserve": 1, "suspended": 1, "suspension": 1, "doubtful": 0.85, "questionable": 0.25, "active": 0 }, "fullAbsencePoints": { "QB": 2, "OL": 0.35, "WR": 0.4, "TE": 0.25, "RB": 0.15, "EDGE": 0.4, "DL": 0.3, "LB": 0.2, "CB": 0.35, "S": 0.2, "K": 0.15 }, "offenseCap": 3.5, "defenseCap": 2, "sensitivityScales": [ 0.5, 1, 1.5 ], "maximumUncertainPlayers": 10, "limitations": [ "Generic starter-to-backup assumptions; actual replacement quality and snap-share calibration are not yet modeled.", "Opening-reference changes reduce repeated deductions but do not fully remove availability already embedded in historical team ratings.", "Questionable and doubtful probabilities are assumptions; active-but-limited performance is not modeled.", "Absence scenarios assume independent availability; multiple injuries are summed with caps, without a calibrated cluster penalty.", "Sensitivity ranges are assumption stress tests, not confidence intervals. Weather remains display-only." ] } }, "baseline": { "modelVersion": "gridiron-fundamental-v0.2", "expectedPoints": { "home": 20.76592774381434, "away": 21.921561885994524, "total": 42.687489629808866, "margin": -1.1556341421801863 }, "fairWinner": { "home": 0.4662, "away": 0.5338 }, "projectedScore": { "home": 20, "away": 17, "probability": 0.00708 } } }, "marketReference": { "homeMoneyline": -130, "awayMoneyline": 110, "spreadLine": 2.5, "totalLine": 39.5, "source": "nflverse schedule historical-lines fields; reference only" }, "kalshi": { "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "eventKey": "26OCT11CLENYJ", "marketCount": 72, "coverage": { "listed": 72, "normalized": 72, "unparsedTickers": [], "evaluatedSides": 144, "quotedSides": 144 }, "markets": [ { "ticker": "KXNFLGAME-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ", "family": "winner", "teamSide": "home", "line": null, "label": "New York Jets wins", "yesAsk": 0.56, "noAsk": 0.45, "yesBid": 0.55, "noBid": 0.44, "volume": 20474.4, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If New York J wins the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "The following market refers to the team who wins the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 549022.6, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLGAME-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLGAME-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE", "family": "winner", "teamSide": "away", "line": null, "label": "Cleveland Browns wins", "yesAsk": 0.46, "noAsk": 0.55, "yesBid": 0.45, "noBid": 0.54, "volume": 105660.43, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If Cleveland wins the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "The following market refers to the team who wins the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 108230.35, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLGAME-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ8", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 7.5, "label": "New York Jets wins by more than 7.5", "yesAsk": 0.28, "noAsk": 0.73, "yesBid": 0.27, "noBid": 0.72, "volume": 4957.71, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If NY Jets wins by more than 7.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 333.03, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ8" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ7", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 6.5, "label": "New York Jets wins by more than 6.5", "yesAsk": 0.33, "noAsk": 0.69, "yesBid": 0.31, "noBid": 0.67, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If NY Jets wins by more than 6.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 1229.36, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ7" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ6", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 5.5, "label": "New York Jets wins by more than 5.5", "yesAsk": 0.37, "noAsk": 0.65, "yesBid": 0.35, "noBid": 0.63, "volume": 110.36, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If NY Jets wins by more than 5.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 1805.91, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ6" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ5", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 4.5, "label": "New York Jets wins by more than 4.5", "yesAsk": 0.38, "noAsk": 0.63, "yesBid": 0.37, "noBid": 0.62, "volume": 49.79, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If NY Jets wins by more than 4.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 80.89, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ5" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ4", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 3.5, "label": "New York Jets wins by more than 3.5", "yesAsk": 0.41, "noAsk": 0.6, "yesBid": 0.4, "noBid": 0.59, "volume": 527.41, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If NY Jets wins by more than 3.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 320.92, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ4" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ3", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 2.5, "label": "New York Jets wins by more than 2.5", "yesAsk": 0.48, "noAsk": 0.53, "yesBid": 0.47, "noBid": 0.52, "volume": 6103.39, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If NY Jets wins by more than 2.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 552.97, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ3" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ2", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 1.5, "label": "New York Jets wins by more than 1.5", "yesAsk": 0.52, "noAsk": 0.49, "yesBid": 0.51, "noBid": 0.48, "volume": 5411.17, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If NY Jets wins by more than 1.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 3300.98, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ2" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ17", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 16.5, "label": "New York Jets wins by more than 16.5", "yesAsk": 0.13, "noAsk": 0.88, "yesBid": 0.12, "noBid": 0.87, "volume": 508, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If NY Jets wins by more than 16.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 1520, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ17" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ15", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 14.5, "label": "New York Jets wins by more than 14.5", "yesAsk": 0.16, "noAsk": 0.85, "yesBid": 0.15, "noBid": 0.84, "volume": 1323.13, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If NY Jets wins by more than 14.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 2520, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ15" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ14", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 13.5, "label": "New York Jets wins by more than 13.5", "yesAsk": 0.18, "noAsk": 0.83, "yesBid": 0.17, "noBid": 0.82, "volume": 3331.57, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If NY Jets wins by more than 13.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 2520, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ14" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ11", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 10.5, "label": "New York Jets wins by more than 10.5", "yesAsk": 0.22, "noAsk": 0.79, "yesBid": 0.21, "noBid": 0.78, "volume": 1848.23, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If NY Jets wins by more than 10.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 601.13, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ11" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ10", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 9.5, "label": "New York Jets wins by more than 9.5", "yesAsk": 0.24, "noAsk": 0.77, "yesBid": 0.23, "noBid": 0.76, "volume": 4783.82, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If NY Jets wins by more than 9.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 49.04, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJ10" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE8", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 7.5, "label": "Cleveland Browns wins by more than 7.5", "yesAsk": 0.22, "noAsk": 0.79, "yesBid": 0.21, "noBid": 0.78, "volume": 4056.15, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns wins by more than 7.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 2272, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE8" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE7", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 6.5, "label": "Cleveland Browns wins by more than 6.5", "yesAsk": 0.27, "noAsk": 0.74, "yesBid": 0.26, "noBid": 0.73, "volume": 1260.91, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns wins by more than 6.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 301606.43, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE7" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE6", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 5.5, "label": "Cleveland Browns wins by more than 5.5", "yesAsk": 0.29, "noAsk": 0.73, "yesBid": 0.27, "noBid": 0.71, "volume": 62, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns wins by more than 5.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 535, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE6" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE5", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 4.5, "label": "Cleveland Browns wins by more than 4.5", "yesAsk": 0.32, "noAsk": 0.7, "yesBid": 0.3, "noBid": 0.68, "volume": 874.78, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns wins by more than 4.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 301866.08, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE5" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE4", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 3.5, "label": "Cleveland Browns wins by more than 3.5", "yesAsk": 0.34, "noAsk": 0.67, "yesBid": 0.33, "noBid": 0.66, "volume": 149.13, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns wins by more than 3.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 89.61, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE4" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE3", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 2.5, "label": "Cleveland Browns wins by more than 2.5", "yesAsk": 0.41, "noAsk": 0.6, "yesBid": 0.4, "noBid": 0.59, "volume": 595.98, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns wins by more than 2.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 301035, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE3" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE2", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 1.5, "label": "Cleveland Browns wins by more than 1.5", "yesAsk": 0.44, "noAsk": 0.58, "yesBid": 0.42, "noBid": 0.56, "volume": 92.9, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns wins by more than 1.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 302742.1, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE2" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE17", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 16.5, "label": "Cleveland Browns wins by more than 16.5", "yesAsk": 0.1, "noAsk": 0.91, "yesBid": 0.09, "noBid": 0.9, "volume": 1759, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns wins by more than 16.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 1447, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE17" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE15", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 14.5, "label": "Cleveland Browns wins by more than 14.5", "yesAsk": 0.12, "noAsk": 0.9, "yesBid": 0.1, "noBid": 0.88, "volume": 1235, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns wins by more than 14.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 1435, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE15" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE14", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 13.5, "label": "Cleveland Browns wins by more than 13.5", "yesAsk": 0.14, "noAsk": 0.88, "yesBid": 0.12, "noBid": 0.86, "volume": 1704, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns wins by more than 13.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 301530, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE14" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE11", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 10.5, "label": "Cleveland Browns wins by more than 10.5", "yesAsk": 0.17, "noAsk": 0.85, "yesBid": 0.15, "noBid": 0.83, "volume": 14.4, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns wins by more than 10.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 2248, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE11" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE10", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 9.5, "label": "Cleveland Browns wins by more than 9.5", "yesAsk": 0.19, "noAsk": 0.82, "yesBid": 0.18, "noBid": 0.81, "volume": 331.29, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns wins by more than 9.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 636, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLE10" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CLENYJ-62", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 61.5, "label": "Over 61.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.07, "noAsk": 0.95, "yesBid": 0.05, "noBid": 0.93, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns and NY Jets collectively score more than 61.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 302123, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CLENYJ-62" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CLENYJ-59", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 58.5, "label": "Over 58.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.09, "noAsk": 0.92, "yesBid": 0.08, "noBid": 0.91, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns and NY Jets collectively score more than 58.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. 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All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 2123, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CLENYJ-56" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLTOTAL-26OCT11CLENYJ-53", "family": "total", "teamSide": null, "line": 52.5, "label": "Over 52.5 total points", "yesAsk": 0.17, "noAsk": 0.84, "yesBid": 0.16, "noBid": 0.83, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If CLE Browns and NY Jets collectively score more than 52.5 points in the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. 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"reportedAt": "2026-10-04T19:16Z" }, { "id": "3917792", "name": "Daniel Jones", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T19:11Z" }, { "id": "4431459", "name": "Tyler Warren", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T18:14Z" }, { "id": "4242335", "name": "Jonathan Taylor", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T18:07Z" }, { "id": "4429084", "name": "Anthony Richardson Sr.", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T12:17Z" }, { "id": "4061956", "name": "Ashton Dulin", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T12:10Z" }, { "id": "2998565", "name": "Mo Alie-Cox", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T12:07Z" }, { "id": "3917142", "name": "Akeem Davis-Gaither", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-01T19:49Z" }, { "id": "2971282", "name": "DeForest Buckner", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-01T02:16Z" }, { "id": "4360078", "name": "Alec Pierce", "status": "Injured Reserve", "reportedAt": "2026-09-28T18:38Z" }, { "id": "4426473", "name": 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All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 445984.32, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLGAME-26OCT11INDPIT-IND" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11INDPIT-PIT8", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 7.5, "label": "Pittsburgh Steelers wins by more than 7.5", "yesAsk": 0.29, "noAsk": 0.72, "yesBid": 0.28, "noBid": 0.71, "volume": 128848.32, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If PIT Steelers wins by more than 7.5 points in the IND Colts vs PIT Steelers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. 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Stroud", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T22:10Z" }, { "id": "4258173", "name": "Nico Collins", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T22:05Z" }, { "id": "4241394", "name": "Kenneth Murray Jr.", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T20:26Z" }, { "id": "4242227", "name": "Ed Ingram", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T16:14Z" }, { "id": "4033812", "name": "Jake Hansen", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T16:10Z" }, { "id": "16734", "name": "Jadeveon Clowney", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T16:08Z" }, { "id": "4360189", "name": "Logan Hall", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T15:41Z" }, { "id": "3043109", "name": "Trent Brown", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T15:41Z" }, { "id": "4837286", "name": "Wade Woodaz", "status": "Active", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T01:10Z" }, { "id": "4373273", "name": "British Brooks", "status": "Injured Reserve", "reportedAt": "2026-10-03T00:35Z" } ], "depthUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/depth/_/name/hou", "injuriesUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/hou", "injuries": [ { "id": "3919117", "name": "Azeez Al-Shaair", "status": "Questionable", "position": "LB", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "injury": "Groin", "listedStarter": true }, { "id": "4366031", "name": "Tank Dell", "status": "Injured Reserve", "position": "WR", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T16:48Z", "injury": "Knee - ACL + MCL", "listedStarter": false }, { "id": "4362910", "name": "Jaden Crumedy", "status": "Questionable", "position": "DT", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T03:07Z", "injury": "Shoulder", "listedStarter": false }, { "id": "4594277", "name": "Jaylin Smith", "status": "Questionable", "position": "CB", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T00:52Z", "injury": "Hamstring", "listedStarter": false }, { "id": "4241394", "name": "Kenneth Murray Jr.", "status": "Questionable", "position": "LB", "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T20:26Z", "injury": "Head", "listedStarter": false }, { "id": "4373273", "name": "British Brooks", "status": "Injured Reserve", "position": "RB", "reportedAt": "2026-10-03T00:35Z", "injury": "Hamstring", "listedStarter": false } ] }, "recommendationLimit": "watch", "note": "Team efficiency: applied. Availability experiment: no-change. Injury position values remain assumptions. Personnel review and weather do not add automatic scoring adjustments. FTN data are not loaded.", "weeklyReports": [], "personnelReview": { "status": "checked", "asOf": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "warnings": [], "players": [ { "team": "HOU", "name": "Azeez Al-Shaair", "position": "LB", "group": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/hou", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null } ], "changes": [], "clusters": [], "scoreAdjustment": 0 } }, "personalComparison": null, "season": 2026, "week": 5, "kickoffAt": "2026-10-11T17:00Z", "gameday": "2026-10-11", "stadium": "Nissan Stadium", "roof": "outdoors", "surface": "grass", "location": "Home", "away": { "code": "HOU", "name": "Houston Texans", "colors": [ "#03202f", "#a71930" ] }, "home": { "code": "TEN", "name": "Tennessee Titans", "colors": [ "#0c2340", "#4b92db" ] }, "model": { "modelVersion": "gridiron-efficiency-v0.3+availability-experiment-v1", "researchModelKey": "gridiron-efficiency-v0.3+availability-experiment-v1:30e5716c9882cb0a", "provisional": true, "ratingReliability": 0.68, "expectedPoints": { "home": 18.341118976940976, "away": 23.103083286599627, "total": 41.4442022635406, "margin": -4.7619643096586515 }, "simulatedPoints": { "home": 18.47092, "away": 23.05748 }, "shape": { "home": 0.35976, "tie": 0.00096, "away": 0.63928 }, "fairWinner": { "home": 0.36024, "away": 0.63976 }, "projectedScore": { "home": 17, "away": 20, "probability": 0.00744 }, "topScores": [ { "home": 17, "away": 20, "probability": 0.00744 }, { "home": 20, "away": 17, "probability": 0.00644 }, { "home": 17, "away": 23, "probability": 0.00596 }, { "home": 10, "away": 13, "probability": 0.00592 }, { "home": 17, "away": 24, "probability": 0.00552 } ], "simulations": 25000, "contextAppliedToScores": true, "injuryAdjustmentApplied": false, "efficiency": { "featureVersion": "opponent-efficiency-features-v1", "asOf": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "gamesUsed": 1756, "latestEligibleAfter": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z", "coverage": { "home": { "effectiveGames": 6.444483361777102, "lastGame": "2026-10-04", "lastQuarterback": "Cam Ward" }, "away": { "effectiveGames": 6.477917600809019, "lastGame": "2026-10-04", "lastQuarterback": "C.J. 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impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "HOU", "id": "4373273", "name": "British Brooks", "position": "RB", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-03T00:35Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." } ], "unresolved": [ { "team": "TEN", "id": "4876319", "name": "Jackson Slater", "position": "G", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-30T01:02Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "TEN", "id": "4710000", "name": "Fernando Carmona", "position": "G", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-30T00:57Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "HOU", "id": "3919117", "name": "Azeez Al-Shaair", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "HOU", "id": "4366031", "name": "Tank Dell", "position": "WR", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T16:48Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "HOU", "id": "4362910", "name": "Jaden Crumedy", "position": "DT", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T03:07Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "HOU", "id": "4594277", "name": "Jaylin Smith", "position": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T00:52Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "HOU", "id": "4241394", "name": "Kenneth Murray Jr.", "position": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T20:26Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; 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Existing absences have unknown representation in team ratings; only later status changes receive experimental adjustments.", "entries": [], "excluded": [], "scenarioCount": 1, "homePointChange": 0, "awayPointChange": 0, "marginChange": 0, "totalChange": 0, "sensitivity": [ { "scale": 0.5, "expectedPoints": { "home": 18.341118976940976, "away": 23.103083286599627, "total": 41.4442022635406, "margin": -4.7619643096586515 } }, { "scale": 1, "expectedPoints": { "home": 18.341118976940976, "away": 23.103083286599627, "total": 41.4442022635406, "margin": -4.7619643096586515 } }, { "scale": 1.5, "expectedPoints": { "home": 18.341118976940976, "away": 23.103083286599627, "total": 41.4442022635406, "margin": -4.7619643096586515 } } ], "limitations": [ "Generic starter-to-backup assumptions; actual replacement quality and snap-share calibration are not yet modeled.", "Opening-reference changes reduce repeated deductions but do not fully remove availability already embedded in historical team ratings.", "Questionable and doubtful probabilities are assumptions; active-but-limited performance is not modeled.", "Absence scenarios assume independent availability; multiple injuries are summed with caps, without a calibrated cluster penalty.", "Sensitivity ranges are assumption stress tests, not confidence intervals. Weather remains display-only." ], "policy": { "version": "availability-experiment-v1", "calibrated": false, "description": "Conservative analyst-selected scenario assumptions. 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If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 6112.7, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLGAME-26OCT11HOUTEN-HOU" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11HOUTEN-TEN8", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 7.5, "label": "Tennessee Titans wins by more than 7.5", "yesAsk": 0.11, "noAsk": 0.9, "yesBid": 0.1, "noBid": 0.89, "volume": 29.08, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If TEN Titans wins by more than 7.5 points in the HOU Texans vs TEN Titans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 2995, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11HOUTEN-TEN8" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11HOUTEN-TEN7", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 6.5, "label": "Tennessee Titans wins by more than 6.5", "yesAsk": 0.13, "noAsk": 0.88, "yesBid": 0.12, "noBid": 0.87, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If TEN Titans wins by more than 6.5 points in the HOU Texans vs TEN Titans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 2624, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11HOUTEN-TEN7" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11HOUTEN-TEN6", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "home", "line": 5.5, "label": "Tennessee Titans wins by more than 5.5", "yesAsk": 0.14, "noAsk": 0.88, "yesBid": 0.12, "noBid": 0.86, "volume": 0, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If TEN Titans wins by more than 5.5 points in the HOU Texans vs TEN Titans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. 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"reportedAt": "2026-10-05T00:59Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "NYG", "id": "4240706", "name": "Jason Pinnock", "position": "S", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T00:59Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." } ], "reviewRequired": true, "label": "Injury impact incomplete — review required" }, "reviewRequired": true, "referenceObservedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:42.325Z", "referenceNote": "First valid observation captured this week, not necessarily the opening. 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FTN data are not loaded.", "weeklyReports": [], "personnelReview": { "status": "review", "asOf": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "warnings": [ "CHI: starting QB differs from last played game; replacement quality uncalibrated" ], "players": [ { "team": "GB", "name": "Aaron Banks", "position": "G", "group": "OL", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/gb", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "GB", "name": "Brandon Cisse", "position": "CB", "group": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T23:50Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/gb", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "CHI", "name": "Cam Lewis", "position": "CB", "group": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/chi", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "CHI", "name": "Caleb Williams", "position": "QB", "group": "QB", "status": "Out", "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T21:13Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/chi", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null } ], "changes": [ { "team": "CHI", "position": "QB", "previous": "Case Keenum", "current": "Tyson Bagent", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/depth/_/name/chi" } ], "clusters": [], "scoreAdjustment": 0 } }, "personalComparison": null, "season": 2026, "week": 5, "kickoffAt": "2026-10-11T17:00Z", "gameday": "2026-10-11", "stadium": "Lambeau Field", "roof": "outdoors", "surface": "grass", "location": "Home", "away": { "code": "CHI", "name": "Chicago Bears", "colors": [ "#0b162a", "#c83803" ] }, "home": { "code": "GB", "name": "Green Bay Packers", "colors": [ "#203731", "#ffb612" ] }, "model": { "modelVersion": "gridiron-efficiency-v0.3+availability-experiment-v1", "researchModelKey": "gridiron-efficiency-v0.3+availability-experiment-v1:30e5716c9882cb0a", "provisional": true, "ratingReliability": 0.68, "expectedPoints": { "home": 21.760799065565074, "away": 23.928011143702236, "total": 45.68881020926731, "margin": -2.1672120781371618 }, "simulatedPoints": { "home": 21.8132, "away": 23.9194 }, "shape": { "home": 0.44144, "tie": 0.00128, "away": 0.55728 }, "fairWinner": { "home": 0.44208, "away": 0.55792 }, "projectedScore": { "home": 17, "away": 20, "probability": 0.006 }, "topScores": [ { "home": 17, "away": 20, "probability": 0.006 }, { "home": 23, "away": 20, "probability": 0.0058 }, { "home": 20, "away": 23, "probability": 0.0056 }, { "home": 20, "away": 17, "probability": 0.00532 }, { "home": 24, "away": 27, "probability": 0.00524 } ], "simulations": 25000, "contextAppliedToScores": true, "injuryAdjustmentApplied": false, "efficiency": { "featureVersion": "opponent-efficiency-features-v1", "asOf": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "gamesUsed": 1756, "latestEligibleAfter": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z", "coverage": { "home": { "effectiveGames": 6.4624773241720455, "lastGame": "2026-10-04", "lastQuarterback": "Jordan Love" }, "away": { "effectiveGames": 6.476007932129065, "lastGame": "2026-10-04", "lastQuarterback": "Case Keenum" } }, "inputs": { "home": { "baselinePoints": 21.34095108679896, "homeField": 1, "offenseYards": 0.06132834712099362, "defenseYards": 0.2994715247141838, "offenseSuccess": 0.015460420335647254, "defenseSuccess": 0.014789156417895322, "offensePointsPerDrive": 0.040443960685742054, "defensePointsPerDrive": -0.23828571039613777, "possessions": 10.067470417491343, "offenseTurnovers": -0.0014559615006426432, "defenseTurnovers": 0.0016125102015206406, "offenseFieldPosition": -0.9086135884724118, "defenseFieldPosition": 0.12701730744532402 }, "away": { "baselinePoints": 23.3974170271675, "homeField": -1, "offenseYards": 0.3547162232203132, "defenseYards": 0.0911001556778191, "offenseSuccess": 0.04162686132443842, "defenseSuccess": 0.03697093922298121, "offensePointsPerDrive": 0.3279431636866407, "defensePointsPerDrive": 0.4047429379353285, "possessions": 10.067470417491343, "offenseTurnovers": -0.0030706423715032177, "defenseTurnovers": -0.003515710864643767, "offenseFieldPosition": -0.05478517914380876, "defenseFieldPosition": 0.41708313778804396 } }, "warnings": [], "status": "applied", "expectedPossessions": 10.067470417491343, "calibrationVersion": "efficiency-calibration-v1", "trainingThroughSeason": 2025, "provisional": true, "simulationTreatment": "Legacy distribution retained; possessions affect learned expected scoring." }, "preInjury": { "expectedPoints": { "home": 21.760799065565074, "away": 23.928011143702236, "total": 45.68881020926731, "margin": -2.1672120781371618 }, "fairWinner": { "home": 0.44208, "away": 0.55792 } }, "availability": { "version": "availability-experiment-v1", "status": "no-change", "calibrated": false, "coverage": { "scope": "Changes since first observed weekly reference only; not a full healthy-roster adjustment", "baselineRosterKnown": false, "baselineAbsences": [ { "team": "GB", "id": "4428037", "name": "Jacob Monk", "position": "C", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4242390", "name": "Aaron Banks", "position": "G", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4887255", "name": "Anthony Campbell", "position": "DT", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "5076652", "name": "Brandon Cisse", "position": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T23:50Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4361423", "name": "Micah Parsons", "position": "DE", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T21:10Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4430438", "name": "Edgerrin Cooper", "position": "LB", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T17:23Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "3149687", "name": "Chris Brooks", "position": "RB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T17:59Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4429136", "name": "Warren Brinson", "position": "DT", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-03T23:49Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4362249", "name": "Jayden Reed", "position": "WR", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-30T15:55Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4240435", "name": "Zach Bako-Bewele", "position": "OT", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-29T00:26Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4361748", "name": "Anthony Johnson Jr.", "position": "S", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T19:31Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "3916577", "name": "Cam Lewis", "position": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4431611", "name": "Caleb Williams", "position": "QB", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T21:13Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4608686", "name": "Kyle Monangai", "position": "RB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T21:08Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4251007", "name": "Braxton Jones", "position": "OT", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T01:02Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4361093", "name": "Kyler Gordon", "position": "CB", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-01T00:31Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4432804", "name": "Shemar Turner", "position": "DT", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-24T00:28Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4430822", "name": "Noah Sewell", "position": "LB", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-23T22:34Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." } ], "unresolved": [ { "team": "GB", "id": "4428037", "name": "Jacob Monk", "position": "C", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4242390", "name": "Aaron Banks", "position": "G", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4887255", "name": "Anthony Campbell", "position": "DT", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "5076652", "name": "Brandon Cisse", "position": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T23:50Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4361423", "name": "Micah Parsons", "position": "DE", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T21:10Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4430438", "name": "Edgerrin Cooper", "position": "LB", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T17:23Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "3149687", "name": "Chris Brooks", "position": "RB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T17:59Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4429136", "name": "Warren Brinson", "position": "DT", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-03T23:49Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4362249", "name": "Jayden Reed", "position": "WR", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-30T15:55Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "GB", "id": "4240435", "name": "Zach Bako-Bewele", "position": "OT", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-29T00:26Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4361748", "name": "Anthony Johnson Jr.", "position": "S", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T19:31Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "3916577", "name": "Cam Lewis", "position": "CB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4431611", "name": "Caleb Williams", "position": "QB", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": true, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T21:13Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4608686", "name": "Kyle Monangai", "position": "RB", "status": "Questionable", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-05T21:08Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4251007", "name": "Braxton Jones", "position": "OT", "status": "Injured Reserve", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-04T01:02Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4361093", "name": "Kyler Gordon", "position": "CB", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-10-01T00:31Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4432804", "name": "Shemar Turner", "position": "DT", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-24T00:28Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." }, { "team": "CHI", "id": "4430822", "name": "Noah Sewell", "position": "LB", "status": "Out", "listedStarter": false, "reportedAt": "2026-09-23T22:34Z", "reason": "Absence already present at reference; impact embedded in ratings is unknown." } ], "reviewRequired": true, "label": "Injury impact incomplete — review required" }, "reviewRequired": true, "referenceObservedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:42.325Z", "referenceNote": "First valid observation captured this week, not necessarily the opening. 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Weather remains display-only." ], "policy": { "version": "availability-experiment-v1", "calibrated": false, "description": "Conservative analyst-selected scenario assumptions. 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If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 405450.61, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLGAME-26OCT11CHIGB-GB" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLGAME-26OCT11CHIGB-CHI", "family": "winner", "teamSide": "away", "line": null, "label": "Chicago Bears wins", "yesAsk": 0.59, "noAsk": 0.42, "yesBid": 0.58, "noBid": 0.41, "volume": 162716.51, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If Chicago wins the CHI Bears vs GB Packers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "The following market refers to the team who wins the CHI Bears vs GB Packers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. 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FTN data are not loaded.", "weeklyReports": [], "personnelReview": { "status": "review", "asOf": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "warnings": [ "BAL: 2 listed starters with offensive line injury designations; review together" ], "players": [ { "team": "ATL", "name": "Jake Matthews", "position": "OT", "group": "OL", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T02:13Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/atl", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "ATL", "name": "Za'Darius Smith", "position": "DE", "group": "EDGE", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T01:24Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/atl", "expectedSnapShare": null, "replacementQuality": null }, { "team": "BAL", "name": "Trey Hendrickson", "position": "LB", "group": "LB", "status": "Questionable", "reportedAt": "2026-10-06T18:21Z", "sourceUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/injuries/_/name/bal", "expectedSnapShare": null, 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If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. 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If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 28934.75, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLGAME-26OCT11BALATL-ATL" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11BALATL-BAL8", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 7.5, "label": "Baltimore Ravens wins by more than 7.5", "yesAsk": 0.18, "noAsk": 0.83, "yesBid": 0.17, "noBid": 0.82, "volume": 5409.85, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If BAL Ravens wins by more than 7.5 points in the BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 3935.57, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11BALATL-BAL8" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11BALATL-BAL7", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 6.5, "label": "Baltimore Ravens wins by more than 6.5", "yesAsk": 0.2, "noAsk": 0.81, "yesBid": 0.19, "noBid": 0.8, "volume": 3112.41, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If BAL Ravens wins by more than 6.5 points in the BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 3234.2, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11BALATL-BAL7" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11BALATL-BAL6", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 5.5, "label": "Baltimore Ravens wins by more than 5.5", "yesAsk": 0.23, "noAsk": 0.78, "yesBid": 0.22, "noBid": 0.77, "volume": 2262.74, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If BAL Ravens wins by more than 5.5 points in the BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.", "yesAskSize": 2242, "noAskSize": null, "feeMultiplier": 1, "observedAt": "2026-10-06T19:42:49.615Z", "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11BALATL-BAL6" }, { "ticker": "KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11BALATL-BAL5", "family": "spread", "teamSide": "away", "line": 4.5, "label": "Baltimore Ravens wins by more than 4.5", "yesAsk": 0.25, "noAsk": 0.76, "yesBid": 0.24, "noBid": 0.75, "volume": 2516.46, "status": "active", "rulesPrimary": "If BAL Ravens wins by more than 4.5 points in the BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.", "rulesSecondary": "Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. 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