NFL · SEASON OUTLOOK
Model dashboard.
Your forecasts, prices, and performance in one place.
Explore the slateTHIS WEEK—
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01 / THIS WEEK
Picks & forecasts
The matchup, the number, and what changed.
Forecast —Quotes —
One top watch per game. Net gap includes estimated fees.
THE FOOTBALL DESK
ACE has a desk of his own.
Independent picks, the counterargument, and his take on the model.
TRACK THE EXPERIMENT
Paper trading results
Every frozen selection. Entry cost, closing value, and final payout.
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One hypothetical contract per selected game · fees included · no real orders
PROSPECTIVE RESEARCH
Price comparison & paper ledger
Your line. The model. The market. Saved before the result.
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| Game | Your spread | Model | Sportsbook | Home probability | Frozen paper selection | Final |
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Explore every captured market side
| Contract | Bid / ask | Model | Sportsbook, no vig | Fixed blend | Paper eligibility |
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Policy, timing & limitations
Missing timestamps and closing prices stay missing.
PLAYER AVAILABILITY
Injury reports
Practice progress. Game status. The source behind each update.
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Team coverage & data definitions
DNP = did not practice · LP = limited · FP = full. Not listed and a blank field are kept separate. Practice participation does not determine game availability. A blank report does not establish a healthy roster.
This saved snapshot contains reported injury statuses. Refresh view reloads saved data; it does not fetch new reports. Source publication times and expected replacements are unverified. Injured reserve may be included; game-day actives and inactive lists are not verified. No numerical injury adjustments are applied from this section.
Reported player statuses · retain uncertainty
IS THE MODEL IMPROVING?
Forecast error over time
—points of average error · lower is better
Saved pregame model
Completed current-season games with archived forecasts. Weekly results can fluctuate; model changes and opponent mix can affect comparisons.
View weekly numbers and limitations
LATEST FROZEN SLATE
Where picks landed
—winner-direction accuracy
WonLost
Winner accuracy ≠ betting success
THE WEEKLY LEARNING LOOP
Refresh. Measure. Test.
Efficiency beyond scores
Opponent-adjusted yards, success rate, offensive points per drive, possessions, turnovers and field position.
Player context stays visible
QB changes and clusters of injuries require review. FTN player measurements are not loaded. Injury point values remain experimental.
Evidence before confidence
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FROM HERE FORWARD
Live validation for this version
SCORING BIAS
Above or below our totals?
Final scoring against the saved model projection.
KEEP THE RECEIPTS
Results ledger
Saved pregame predictions, including the misses.
| Game | Forecast / final | Winner | Spread direction | Total direction |
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